Risk Discovery Demo

Deal Context

All tenants modeled as regional operators with medium chance of renewal and default

Refi window or blocked: If a refi window exists, you see the optimal window and chart; if not, you see “No Executable Refinance Window Identified” with average equity gap, bottom 10% equity gap, and % of scenarios where refi fails to clear.
Tenant outcomes: Tier 1 (refi-deciding / blocking conditions), Tier 2 (opportunistic levers / what would create a window), Tier 3 (compounding fragility). When refi is blocked, the same tiers are framed as “Why refinancing never clears” and “What would create a refi window?”
Rent roll: Lender-facing rent roll in successful cash-out scenarios, shown after tenant outcomes.
What to do: Playbooks for rollover, default, and late-default risk.

Ithaca Distribution Co

Finger Lakes Machining

SecureStor Warehousing

Upstate Label Printing

Lender profile

Tight lender

8% refi cap rate · 7% loan interest rate · LTV 65% · base DSCR 1.25

Loose lender

6.5% refi cap rate · 7% loan interest rate · LTV 80% · base DSCR 1.10

Loan Date Date when refinancing occurs

Anchor analyzes tenant performance in the 12 months leading up to this date.

Advanced Settings (Optional)

Defaults are fine for risk discovery. Override only if you have strong market views.

Number of Simulations More simulations = more accurate results but longer runtime

Discount Rate (%) Enter as percentage (e.g., 8.5 for 8.5%)

Exit Cap Rate (%) Enter as percentage (e.g., 6.5 for 6.5%)

Market Rent per Sqft ($)

Tenant Downtime (Months)

TI Cost per Sqft ($)

Leasing Commission Cost ($)